Bayes Market has been fully upgraded.

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8 hours ago

In 2025, decentralized prediction markets are moving towards a new stage.

Bayes Market today announced that it will soon complete a comprehensive upgrade of the platform and will be relaunched shortly. This revision is not only a technical iteration but also a systematic reshaping of the future strategic direction, aimed at providing users with a more professional prediction trading environment and more valuable market data.


Points System Phase-Out: Value Returns to Real Assets

As an important measure of this upgrade, Bayes Market will officially take down the Points Zone and will convert the existing points into USDC trading rewards for users at a 100:1 ratio.

This move signifies a comprehensive simplification and realignment of the platform's value system, allowing users to participate in trading directly in a unified USDC market without switching between multiple asset ranges, with all gains and risks reverting to measurable real assets.


Strategic Focus: Probability Pricing of Industry Marginal Effects

Unlike traditional prediction markets that focus on a single hot event, the new version of Bayes Market will focus on the marginal effects of individual events on key industry turning points.

This strategic transformation means that the platform is not only a trading venue for event probabilities but also a systematic risk pricing platform:

  • By breaking down key variables such as macro policies, on-chain protocol progress, and capital flows,
  • Transforming "information advantages" into quantifiable probability data,
  • Providing real-time industry foresight signals for professional traders, research institutions, and institutional investors.

This positioning makes Bayes Market not just a trading platform but also the pricing infrastructure for industry cognition.


Order Book Matching Mechanism: A Technical Choice for Professional Liquidity

The upgraded Bayes Market will adopt an Order Book matching mechanism to replace the traditional AMM pool model.

Compared to automated market making (AMM), the order book offers:

  • More accurate price discovery: Market prices directly reflect the true bids of buyers and sellers,
  • Lower spreads and more flexible strategic space: Providing market makers and high-frequency traders with strategic arbitrage opportunities,
  • Higher capital utilization: Enhancing capital efficiency while ensuring depth.

The introduction of this architecture marks Bayes Market's official move towards a professional trading platform on a technical level.


Looking Ahead

The core mission of Bayes Market is to make "price = probability" the universal language of the market.

From the phase-out of points and asset unification to a brand new UI experience and the introduction of the order book matching mechanism, Bayes is building a more real, more efficient, and more scalable prediction market infrastructure.

The new Bayes Market is not only a place for users to trade future probabilities but also an important tool for researching industry trends and capturing market turning points.

The new version is about to go live,

Bayes Market invites global users to participate together and witness how probabilities become assets and how the future is priced.

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