Crypto Circle News
January 7 Hot Topics:
1. Bybit: The traditional "four-year cycle" may become invalid, and the outlook for the crypto market in 2026 is relatively positive.
2. Flow releases a post-incident report on a security event involving a Cadence VM vulnerability.
3. Trump: Venezuela will deliver 30-50 million barrels of oil to the United States.
4. MSCI decides not to implement the proposal to exclude DAT company from the index for now.
5. Musk's xAI completes $20 billion Series E funding, with Nvidia participating.
Trading Insights
Volatility is the norm in the contract market; while leverage amplifies profits, it also multiplies risks. I always strictly adhere to the iron rule of "single trade stop loss not exceeding 2% of the principal." This is not conservatism but a "safety lock" for the account. Binance's preset take profit and stop loss feature is an essential tool, accurately locking in profits and avoiding deep losses during sudden market changes, completely isolating emotional interference from operational errors and allowing trading decisions to return to rationality.
LIFE IS LIKE
A JOURNEY ▲
Below are the real trading signals from the Big White Community this week. Congratulations to the friends who followed along; if your operations are not going smoothly, you can come and test the waters.
The data is real, and each trade has a screenshot from the time it was sent.
**Search for the public account: *Big White Talks About Coins*
Bilibili and YouTube account: Daquan777
BTC
Analysis
Today, the S&P reached a new high, but BTC experienced a decline. Many friends believe Bitcoin is only following the downward trend, but the actual logic is that without the correlation between BTC and tech stocks, how much relevance would the situation in Venezuela have with cryptocurrencies? On Monday, there was a significant amount of buying even in the spot ETF; what else could this correlation be? Of course, the rise in U.S. stocks but the drop in BTC is likely due to some trapped funds exiting as a result of the rise. This increase was triggered by events, and BTC's rise started over the weekend, already reflecting in the market. Moreover, on Monday, the increase in $BTC significantly outpaced U.S. stocks. A pullback in response to the event-driven rise is entirely normal for sectors indirectly benefiting from cryptocurrencies, especially since it has been oscillating around $90,000 for half a month, and liquidity has not shown significant improvement. Personally, I think maintaining a slight oscillation is already quite good.
The essence of 2026 still lies in U.S. monetary policy. Venezuela's actual goal is also to reduce inflation in the U.S. and globally, so the main theme for 2026 will still revolve around monetary policy and Trump's midterm election campaign. The current market requires more patience.
A pullback to around 92128-91275 can be a buying opportunity, with a rebound target around 93200. A rebound to around 93250-93600-94350 can be a selling opportunity, with a target around 91300-90700.
ETH
Analysis
For Trump, the most important moment after taking office is approaching. This Friday (23:00 Beijing time) is the U.S. Supreme Court's opinion consultation day, marking the first time the Supreme Court will directly address the legality of Trump's global tariffs at the procedural level, and it could even be the first ruling on Trump's global tariff policy.
Currently, the support rate on Kalshi is only 30%, which means it is very likely that the Supreme Court will initially determine Trump's tariffs to be illegal. This would have a significant impact on Trump, as much of his work after taking office in 2025 will revolve around these tariffs.
Moreover, the previously mentioned plan to distribute money to the public also relies on tariffs. If Trump's tariffs are deemed illegal and canceled or partially canceled, although the Trump administration may use other means to maintain some tariffs, it is unlikely to be the comprehensive tariffs previously in place.
The cancellation of tariffs would greatly affect Trump's approval ratings and credibility, but it would still help with inflation in the U.S. More importantly, if Trump's tariffs are declared illegal, it would have a tremendous impact on the boundaries of his power.
A pullback to around 3228.5-3204.5 can be a buying opportunity, with a rebound target around 3265.
Disclaimer: The above content is purely personal opinion and for reference only! It does not constitute specific operational advice and does not bear legal responsibility. Market conditions change rapidly, and the article may have a certain lag. If you have any questions, feel free to consult.
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