Bitwise Asset Management Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan shared on social media platform X on Feb. 16 that he remains optimistic about the current crypto market cycle, arguing that comparisons to prior downturns in 2018 and 2022 overlook how much the industry has evolved.

“The folks saying this winter is worse than 2018 or 2022 don’t remember 2018 or 2022. In 2018, we had $3,000 bitcoin and a ‘global computer’ with no applications and limited throughput,” the Bitwise CIO said. “In 2022, we had a total market collapse and a regulator that wanted to put us out of business.” He emphasized:

“Today, we have stablecoins going to $3 trillion, tokenization going to $200 trillion, a positive regulatory climate, better tokenomics, Blackrock and Apollo building on DeFi, massively built out infrastructure, ETFs, and rising concerns about fiat currency. So, yep, I’m optimistic.”

Nonetheless, he noted: “It doesn’t mean smooth sailing, but I’m excited for the ride.”

Hougan portrayed the present environment as fundamentally stronger than previous cycles, with expanded infrastructure, improved market structure, and greater participation from large financial institutions.

Beyond this post, Hougan has consistently voiced a constructive stance on digital assets. Last week, he opined that people “significantly underestimate how bullish tokenization is” for decentralized finance, underscoring his view that blockchain-based asset issuance could materially expand DeFi adoption. Earlier this month, he conveyed that after meeting with multiple financial advisors, he found them still generally bullish, with those who have not yet invested viewing recent pullbacks as an opportunity, while existing investors intend to maintain their positions. He also recently referenced discussions with a large advisory firm and indicated that institutions remain patiently bullish while continuing to build conviction.

• Why does Matt Hougan believe this crypto cycle is different from 2018 and 2022?
  He argues that today’s market has stronger infrastructure, institutional adoption, ETFs, and a more positive regulatory climate.
• What role do stablecoins and tokenization play in Hougan’s outlook?
  He points to stablecoins potentially reaching $3 trillion and tokenization expanding toward $200 trillion as major growth drivers.
• How are Blackrock and Apollo connected to decentralized finance?
  Hougan notes that both firms are building on DeFi as part of broader institutional integration with blockchain networks.
• What does Hougan say about bitcoin compared with past downturns?
  He contrasts today’s market with 2018’s $3,000 bitcoin and limited applications, emphasizing stronger fundamentals now.

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