The geopolitical conflict in Iran has greatly affected Japan. As of the week ending March 27, overseas investors net sold approximately 1.51 trillion yen of Japanese spot stocks, marking the largest single-week net sell-off since September 2024.

Japan has a high dependence on energy from the Middle East. About 95% of Japan's crude oil imports come from the Middle East, with approximately 70% needing to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. Once the war escalates, the market is concerned not only about the crude oil prices themselves but also about the comprehensive increase in costs resulting from transportation, insurance, and supply stability.

Although the Japanese government has urgently released strategic oil reserves to respond, the market's concerns about the duration of the conflict and its subsequent effects are unlikely to dissipate in the short term. As a result, there have been signs of significant capital outflow.

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