PANews April 22 news, according to QCP Group, BTC rebounded from a nighttime low of about 75,000 to around 78,000, but more so as an emotional recovery following eased ceasefire risks, rather than a trend reversal. Trump's unilateral extension of the ceasefire with Iran, along with Federal Reserve nominee Kevin Warsh emphasizing data dependence and policy independence, has temporarily lowered the short-term escalation odds, but the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz continues, and Iran's stance on the extension remains unclear, with oil prices hovering around 100 dollars, pushing inflationary stickiness and constraining easing space. BTC futures open interest has rebounded significantly and funding rates remain negative, indicating continued accumulation of short positions at high levels, with implied volatility of options at the front end around 40, suggesting a range-bound fluctuation rather than a unilateral breakout. The overall conflict premium has not noticeably dissipated.

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