Gold and silver have surrendered much of their January gains, raising questions about whether the sharp decline presents a buying opportunity or signals that prices had moved too far ahead of underlying demand.

Rich Dad Poor Dad author Robert Kiyosaki said he agrees with the bullish outlook he attributed to veteran investor Jim Rogers. In a July 17 post on X, Kiyosaki said Rogers expects gold and silver prices to “go to the moon,” while also warning that severe retracements could occur first. Kiyosaki wrote:

“Legendary investor Jim Rogers. Jim states further, that the prices of gold and silver will go to the moon, yet not without severe retracements. Gold and silver just went through a severe retracements.”

The correction has been severe. Gold futures ended July 17 at $4,012.70 per ounce, 24.55% below their January peak of $5,318.40. Silver settled at $56.038, down more than 50% from its record of $115.08. The declines support Kiyosaki’s description of a crash, but they also illustrate the volatility investors can face even when they remain convinced of a long-term price recovery.

Kiyosaki said he treated the decline as an opportunity to increase his holdings rather than follow investors selling into weakness. The renowned author wrote:

“I am in agreement with my friend Jim Rogers. During this last ‘retracement’ or ‘crash,’ I bought more gold and silver.”

Central-bank activity provides some support for his accumulation strategy. Most central banks surveyed by the World Gold Council expected official-sector gold holdings to increase over the following year. Central banks bought more than 1,000 metric tons annually from 2022 through 2024, while purchases remained elevated at 863.3 metric tons in 2025.

The data suggest gold continues to serve as a reserve-diversification asset despite its price decline. However, central-bank demand primarily supports gold rather than silver, leaving silver more exposed to speculative positioning, industrial-demand expectations and broader commodity-market volatility.

Kiyosaki’s view is ultimately based on distrust of fiscal and monetary management rather than short-term price momentum. He cautioned:

“The world economy is in great trouble, and I do not trust our leaders or central banks to solve the problem. In fact they are the problem and things like debt and inflation will only go up.”

Rising debt and persistent inflation could increase demand for precious metals as alternative stores of value. Yet the same inflation pressure could keep interest rates and Treasury yields elevated, raising the opportunity cost of holding assets that generate no income.

Those concerns have coincided with renewed pressure on precious metals. Gold fell below $4,000 on July 13 as investors weighed higher oil prices alongside expectations that monetary policy could remain restrictive. Silver settled at $57.634, its lowest close since December 2025.

The next catalyst will be evidence that changes the outlook for inflation and Federal Reserve policy. Slower inflation, declining Treasury yields, or clearer expectations for lower interest rates could help gold and silver stabilize and strengthen Kiyosaki’s argument that the correction created a buying opportunity.

A stronger dollar, renewed inflation pressure, or expectations that rates will remain high could extend the decline. Whether gold and silver resume their advance may ultimately depend on how inflation, Treasury yields, and Federal Reserve policy evolve. Those factors could determine whether the correction Kiyosaki views as a buying opportunity proves temporary or develops into a more prolonged downturn.

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