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Phyrex
Phyrex|5月 08, 2025 16:47
Let me answer your question about skipping class, but what I thought earlier may not be correct. My point of view is that on the one hand, there is no systemic risk in the United States, and on the other hand, there is a real shift towards monetary easing. I agree with what you said. From the current perspective, balance sheet tightening is slowing down, and the margin is correspondingly shifting towards easing, which I strongly agree with. But after all, we haven't really stopped shrinking our balance sheet yet, nor have we started the continuous interest rate cuts of the Federal Reserve. There's even no clear answer to whether the US economy is declining or continuing to rise. In this situation, my own judgment is that we haven't entered a reversal yet. I have three basic definitions of inversion: 1. Stop QT 2. Stop SLR 3A, It's not because of the economic recession that we entered into a continuous interest rate cut 3B, If the interest rate cut is due to an economic recession, will the economy begin to stabilize Above, my viewpoint may not be correct, I must admit it, but it is indeed my true thoughts.
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Timeline

6月 07, 15:55【52% of American consumers are unable to pay $2000 for emergency expenses】
6月 07, 03:09【The US Treasury Department executes a 10 billion euro debt buyback】
6月 06, 23:01【Strong employment data puts pressure on US Treasury bonds】
6月 06, 17:11【The Federal Reserve promises to reform banking regulation in the United States】
6月 06, 12:56【The unemployment rate in the United States is on the rise】
6月 06, 12:53【Good salary data will push down expectations of interest rate cuts】
6月 06, 12:39【US unemployment rate remains stable, wage growth exceeds expectations】
6月 06, 11:11【Employment and unemployment data have limited impact on Federal Reserve policies】
6月 06, 03:20【The United States is a company that serves shareholders】
6月 06, 03:20【American companies serve shareholders rather than the people】

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