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|Legacy
BTCBTC
💲71157.06
+
0.32%
ETHETH
💲2095.98
+
0.23%
SOLSOL
💲88.00
-
0.08%
TRUMPTRUMP
💲4.01
+
4.16%
USDCUSDC
💲0.9998
-
0.01%
HYPEHYPE
💲37.87
+
4.01%

Phyrex
Phyrex|Jul 03, 2025 20:48
The non farm payroll data far exceeded expectations, possibly the largest gap between the US and ADP in history. The decline in unemployment rate and the increase in employment demonstrate the resilience of the US economy, while also further lowering expectations of interest rate cuts in July and September. CME's pricing for not cutting interest rates in July has exceeded 95%, and the probability of not cutting interest rates in September has also increased to 32%, causing market sentiment to contract. At the same time, the tax reduction and expenditure bill promoted by Trump has been passed in the House of Representatives, which is basically equivalent to the "beautiful bill" has been implemented. In the short term, the market is in a good mood, although the long-term financial burden will increase; Beisen also spoke out to pressure the Federal Reserve, even predicting a "significant drop in September". Although he does not fully agree, such remarks still have short-term effects on boosting the market. As long as there are no equivalent tariffs next week, BTC's consolidation range is still healthy and no systemic risks have been identified for the time being.
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Timeline

Aug 02, 17:30【No one will care about employment numbers or tariffs within two days】
Aug 02, 16:31【ETH/BTC plan remains unchanged】
Aug 02, 15:24【The downturn in China's real estate market is intensifying】
Aug 02, 07:49【ETH breaks through, retests decline, widens wedge】
Aug 02, 06:30【BTC's downward channel has been punctured】
Aug 01, 23:04【The unemployment rate is 4.2%, and the stock market is soaring】
Aug 01, 22:37【Yalsol is expected to reach 175 within the next 4-6 days】
Aug 01, 21:36【Employment report triggers more panic】
Aug 01, 20:11【Market decline, SVR revenue increases】
Aug 01, 19:39【Spot ETF data reflects the decline of traditional users】

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