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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter|7月 15, 2025 15:02
Here we go again: The 30Y Note Yield just crossed back above 5.00% for the first time in a month. The 10Y Note Yield is nearing 4.50% and less than 15 bps below levels seen when Trump paused tariffs for 90 days in April. CPI inflation is back on the rise and Fed rate cuts are being priced-out. All while the US is flooding the bond market with supply to fund deficit spending. You can only ignore the bond market for so long.
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8月 14, 14:33A 50 basis point interest rate cut is not in line with the current economic situation
8月 14, 14:28The inflation rate in the United States is close to 3%
8月 14, 14:20Inflation rate approaching 3%
8月 14, 14:13History of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and market reactions
8月 14, 14:00The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September has dropped to 92.5%
8月 14, 13:21US Treasury Secretary clarifies not urging Fed to cut interest rates
8月 14, 13:15PPI data affects the probability of interest rate cuts
8月 14, 13:10Bitcoin hits a decisive new high
8月 14, 13:04The election for the next Federal Reserve Chairman has become exciting
8月 14, 12:58The significant decline in non-agricultural employment raises economic questions

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