[Probability of Fed Cutting Rates by 25 Basis Points in October Reaches 94.6%] According to CME 'FedWatch' data, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged at its October meeting is 5.4%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is as high as 94.6%. Looking ahead to the December meeting, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is only 0.6%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 14.5%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is as high as 84.9%.