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金色财经
金色财经|10月 06, 2025 19:36
[Institution: Fed Rate Cuts May Have Delayed Boost to Economy] According to a report by Jinse Finance, Joe Brusuelas, an economist at the insurance, tax, and consulting firm RSM, stated that the current round of Federal Reserve rate cuts may have a more limited stimulative effect on the economy compared to previous instances. Since most homeowners had previously locked in mortgage rates far below current levels, mortgage rates would need to drop significantly further to meaningfully improve household finances through refinancing. Corporate balance sheets are already in healthy condition, and the marginal effect of lower financing costs incentivizing businesses to take on risks is diminishing. Brusuelas also emphasized that against the backdrop of tightened immigration policies, businesses may face hiring challenges even if they intend to expand: 'These factors collectively result in a longer lag for rate cut policies to transmit to the real economy compared to historical experiences.' (Jin10)
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Timeline

11月 05, 16:16Continuing to cut interest rates is still reasonable.
11月 05, 06:52October ADP employment numbers will be released tonight
11月 04, 16:07U.S. Department of Labor economic data release suspended
11月 04, 12:57The US dollar hits a three-month high.
11月 04, 10:31General elections and midterm elections are favorable for risk markets
11月 04, 07:58Federal Reserve officials show divisions over the stance on rate cuts
11月 03, 23:12The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December is 67.3%.
11月 03, 20:00Goldman Sachs predicts a Federal Reserve rate cut in December.
11月 03, 16:22CPI is higher than the Federal Reserve's target, the economy is steadily cooling.
11月 03, 12:31Federal Reserve Governor Milan supports a 50 basis point rate cut

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