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律动BlockBeats
律动BlockBeats|Dec 03, 2025 13:08
[Analysis: Today's ADP Data Unlikely to Shake Fed's December Rate Cut Expectations] BlockBeats News, December 3, according to IFR, a media outlet under Reuters, based on the current market positioning, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting rates in December is nearly certain. The ADP data and PMI data to be released today are not expected to be strong enough to prevent the Fed from cutting rates in December. November ADP employment figures are expected to increase by 10,000, significantly lower than October's 42,000. Due to the government shutdown delaying the release of key labor market data, this month's ADP report is particularly important. Previously, the ADP weekly employment report has recorded negative values for three consecutive weeks, though it remains unclear how closely these figures align with the actual monthly data.
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Timeline

Dec 31, 09:57The US dollar is likely to record its worst annual performance since 2017.
Dec 31, 01:46Federal Reserve's 2026 Interest Rate Path Divergence Intensifies
Dec 30, 19:45Some Federal Reserve officials are cautious about cutting interest rates.
Dec 22, 11:34FOMC members are unwilling to support a fourth consecutive rate cut.
Dec 21, 08:49Tom Lee's Outlook on Market Trends for 2026
Dec 19, 22:43Federal Reserve Governor Milan: Interest rates should be lowered to address risks in the job market
Dec 19, 14:25The default rate of U.S. companies has decreased, but the risk of re-default remains.
Dec 18, 14:02U.S. CPI rises by 2.7%, lower than expected
Dec 18, 13:35The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in January 2026 has risen to 28.8%.
Dec 18, 13:01Hassett stated that it is appropriate for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates now.

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