Wimar.X
Wimar.X|4月 24, 2026 14:48
🚨 WARNING: THIS IS HOW 2008 CRASH STARTS AGAIN!! The US housing market is now at one of the most UNAFFORDABLE points in history. This is a $47 TRILLION market, and it is now breaking affordability. Real US home prices just hit about 420. The 2006 bubble peak was about 266. And if you think this is just another scary chart YOU ARE COMPLETELY WRONG. From 2000 to 2026, median home prices rose about 217%, while income rose about 153%. And rates are the killer. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is still about 6.09%. That is HIGH enough to break demand. At 6%, the monthly payment is the real problem. Prices can go sideways and buyers still tap out. And a small move in rates matters way more than people think. Another 0.50% from here is not noise. It is a payment shock. Rates do NOT need to go to 8% to freeze housing. 6% is already enough to cap buyers and kill volume. Builders are saying the same thing. They keep warning that elevated mortgage rates are the biggest problem, and many expect that problem to stay in 2026. Builder confidence is still weak too. THIS IS EXACTLY HOW 2006 STARTS. Payment stress stays HIGH. And it does NOT matter if prices stop going up, because the monthly bill is still heavy enough to push buyers out. So demand does NOT collapse in one headline. It just quietly disappears. Then the sequence always looks the same. - Transactions die first, because people cannot qualify or they do not want to lock in a brutal payment. - Then confidence dies, because everyone sees listings sit longer and concessions start showing up. - Then the real economy feels it, because housing is not just housing, it is moving, renovations, furniture, credit creation, fees, and jobs. That is why 2006 did NOT crash in one day. It froze. Then it cracked. Then it broke. And most people only noticed when the damage was already everywhere. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.(Wimar.X)
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