#Biden May Pardon SBF#

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Overview

There is currently a lot of discussion about whether Biden will pardon SBF. According to bets placed by Polymarket users, Biden is more likely to pardon SBF than Ross Ulbricht. Although SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence, pending appeal, and Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015, Polymarket users believe there is a 4% chance Biden will pardon SBF before leaving office, compared to only a 2% chance of pardoning Ulbricht. It is worth noting that Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, while Trump promised to handle Ulbricht's case. This information suggests that the possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is not entirely out of the question, but it remains at a low level for now.

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Analysis

Discussions about whether US President Joe Biden will pardon former FTX CEO SBF have been heating up recently. According to bets placed by Polymarket users, the likelihood of Biden pardoning SBF is higher than the likelihood of pardoning Silk Road founder Ross Ubricht. Currently, SBF is serving a 25-year sentence, pending appeal, while Ubricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015. Although Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, Polymarket users believe there is only a 4% chance of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office, and an even lower 2% chance of pardoning Ubricht. Notably, Trump had promised to handle Ubricht's case. This event has sparked concerns about Biden's pardon policy and further discussions about the SBF case.

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Classic Views

The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, with Polymarket users predicting only 4%

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The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is higher than pardoning Ross Ulbricht, who was sentenced to life in prison

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Biden's recent clemency actions may provide a possibility for pardoning SBF

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Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, but Biden has not yet commented on it

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