#Biden may pardon SBF#

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Overview

There is currently a lot of discussion about whether Biden will pardon SBF. According to predictions by Polymarket users, the probability of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office is 4%, while the probability of pardoning Ross Ulbricht is 2%. This prediction is lower than expected, despite Biden recently commuting the sentences of over 1,500 people. It is worth noting that former FTX CEO SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence, pending appeal, while Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015. Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, while it remains unknown whether Biden will pardon SBF.

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Analysis

There has been much discussion recently about whether President Biden will pardon former FTX CEO SBF. According to bets placed by Polymarket users, Biden is more likely to pardon SBF than Ross Ubricht, the founder of Silk Road. SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence while awaiting appeal, while Ubricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015. Although Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, Polymarket users believe there is only a 4% chance that Biden will pardon SBF before leaving office, and a 2% chance that he will pardon Ubricht. Notably, Trump had promised to look into Ubricht's case. While SBF's case is still ongoing, public speculation about whether Biden will pardon him reflects the public's attention to the case and their expectations for justice.

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The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, with Polymarket users predicting only 4%

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The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is higher than pardoning Ross Ulbricht, who was sentenced to life in prison

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Biden has recently commuted sentences for over 1500 people, but the possibility of pardoning SBF remains controversial

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Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, but Biden has not yet commented on the matter

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