#Biden may pardon SBF#

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Overview

There is currently a lot of discussion about whether Biden will pardon SBF. According to predictions by Polymarket users, the probability of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office is 4%, while the probability of pardoning Ross Ulbricht is 2%. While this probability is not high, considering Biden's recent commutation of sentences for over 1,500 people and Trump's promise to handle Ulbricht's case, people are still paying attention to the possibility of Biden pardoning SBF. It is worth noting that SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence, pending appeal, while Silk Road founder Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015.

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Analysis

Discussions about whether President Biden will pardon former FTX CEO SBF have been heating up recently. According to bets placed by Polymarket users, Biden is more likely to pardon SBF than Ross Ubricht, the founder of Silk Road. SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence while awaiting appeal, while Ubricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015. Although Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, Polymarket users believe there is only a 4% chance that Biden will pardon SBF before leaving office, and an even lower 2% chance of pardoning Ubricht. Notably, Trump had promised to look into Ubricht's case. This event has sparked concerns about Biden's pardon policy and further discussion surrounding SBF's case.

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Classic Views

The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, Polymarket users predict it to be 4%,

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The possibility of Biden pardoning Ross Ulbricht is even lower, Polymarket users predict it to be 2%,

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Biden's recent clemency actions may provide a reference for SBF's pardon,

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Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, but ultimately did not pardon him

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