#Biden may pardon SBF#

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Overview

There is currently a lot of discussion about whether Biden will pardon SBF. According to predictions by Polymarket users, the probability of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office is 4%, while the probability of pardoning Ross Ulbricht is 2%. It is worth noting that SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence, pending appeal, while Ulbricht, the founder of Silk Road, was sentenced to life in prison in 2015. While Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, making the possibility of SBF's pardon even more uncertain.

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Analysis

There has been much discussion recently about whether US President Joe Biden will pardon former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF). User data on the prediction market platform Polymarket shows that they believe there is a 4% chance of Biden pardoning SBF before leaving office, and a 2% chance of pardoning Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht. Notably, SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence while awaiting appeal, while Ulbricht was sentenced to life in prison in 2015. While Biden recently commuted the sentences of over 1,500 people, Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case. This comparison has also sparked debate about the likelihood of Biden pardoning SBF and the standards for pardons. Currently, the final decision on whether Biden will pardon SBF has not been announced, but this event will undoubtedly continue to attract public attention and discussion.

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The possibility of Biden pardoning SBF is low, Polymarket users predict 4%

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The possibility of Biden pardoning Ross Ulbricht is even lower, Polymarket users predict 2%

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Biden's recent clemency actions may provide a possibility for SBF's pardon

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Trump had promised to handle Ulbricht's case, but was unsuccessful

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