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Phyrex
Phyrex|Jun 03, 2025 18:08
The market was relatively calm this week, and Trump did not make a big move. Except for imposing tariffs on steel last Friday, it only maintained the pace of communication with China. The market has been highly adapted to the TACO strategy, and generally adopts the response path of short first and then repair. Especially when Trump's words are fiercest, it indicates the possibility of short-term suspension. The current adjustment period for "equivalent tariffs" is set for July 8th, and tariff related news may still dominate market sentiment in the next month. At the same time, the Federal Reserve continues to adopt a wait-and-see attitude in the absence of clear inflation or employment pressures, and expectations of interest rate cuts continue to be pushed back. According to CME data, the probability of interest rate cuts in the third quarter is now less than 24%. This tweet is sponsored by @ ApeXProtocolCN | Dex With Apex
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Timeline

Jul 03, 17:51【The Federal Reserve sends market signals】
Jul 03, 16:24【Federal Reserve stance: No time for significant changes】
Jul 03, 15:52【There is a significant risk that the pressure of price increase will continue for a period of time】
Jul 03, 14:23【June employment report affects the prospect of Fed interest rate cuts】
Jul 03, 13:19【US non farm payroll and unemployment rate data released】
Jul 03, 12:50【Non farm payroll data exceeds expectations, reducing the probability of interest rate cuts】
Jul 03, 12:49【Non farm data better than expected, market probability of interest rate cuts changes】
Jul 03, 12:47【The US job market remains stable, and the Federal Reserve may postpone interest rate cuts】
Jul 03, 12:39【US non farm payroll data far exceeds expectations】
Jul 03, 12:35【The probability of the market's interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September is about 80%】

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