Today, the rise in the risk market has led many to believe it is due to the impending end of the U.S. government shutdown. However, there is currently no clear information indicating that the two parties have reached a consensus. A more likely driving factor is that the probability of the Supreme Court upholding Trump's global tariffs has dropped to 29%. If the tariffs are ruled illegal, U.S. companies will face lower supply chain costs, improved profits, and alleviated inflation pressures, which would be most beneficial for industries such as technology, semiconductors, and cross-border manufacturing.

The turnover rate of $BTC has decreased today, with early market sentiment being weak. However, as expectations for favorable tariff news and a market consensus that the shutdown will be resolved next week emerged, the sentiment for risk assets improved, leading to a rebound in BTC driven by the rise in U.S. stocks. URPD shows that the support structure remains intact, and investor confidence is stable during the pullback, so it is not surprising that the price returned to the vicinity of the dense area. Currently, BTC has rebounded to around $104,000, the structure remains healthy, and the logic has not changed.

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