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|Legacy
BTCBTC
💲72428.20
+
2.93%
ETHETH
💲2131.59
+
3.43%
SOLSOL
💲90.48
+
3.83%
USDCUSDC
💲0.9998
-
0%
XRPXRP
💲1.43
+
2.88%
DOGEDOGE
💲0.1005
+
5.16%

Dan Gambardello
Dan Gambardello|12月 02, 2025 14:20
QT officially ended December 1st. But don't expect crypto to pump immediately. I wanted to look at how liquidity actually flows after QT ends and there's a sequence to it. 2019: QT ended around September. Around that time, the repo market got destroyed. The Fed had to inject emergency liquidity. Crypto kept falling. Altcoin bottom didn't come until December. Thankfully, the Fed seems to have a better grip this cycle. They ended QT earlier than expected specifically to avoid that kind of stress. We just need to understand that QT ending is just the "stop" signal. The drain stops. The system stabilizes. But that's not the "go" signal. The "go" signal is when real demand returns. Credit rotating. PMI moving into expansion. That's when liquidity actually flows into risk assets...and crypto is at the far end of that curve. Right now, PMI just actually ticked down to 48.2. Still contracting. We have the stop. We don't have the GO yet. I mapped out the 4-phase sequence and what to watch for:(Dan Gambardello)
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Timeline

12月 31, 09:57The US dollar is likely to record its worst annual performance since 2017.
12月 31, 06:37Liquidity chart shows market dynamics
12月 31, 01:46Federal Reserve's 2026 Interest Rate Path Divergence Intensifies
12月 30, 14:30The Federal Reserve injected $16 billion into the U.S. banking system.
12月 30, 11:31The altcoin season begins when retail investors give up.
12月 26, 18:18The Federal Reserve's reverse repo operation accepted $20.339 billion.
12月 25, 14:26Federal Reserve policy may affect Bitcoin and Ethereum price trends
12月 24, 10:30Bitfinex expects liquidity to rise in 2026
12月 24, 04:14Liquidity is recovering, BTC is facing resistance
12月 22, 18:18The Federal Reserve's reverse repo operation accepted $1.523 billion.

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